Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Rosas vs Maximus Lally

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record6-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamSBG Charlestown· 1622 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin RosasNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Maximus LallyNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Kevin RosasMaximus Lally
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (57%)
Submission
3 (50%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Maximus Lally52%
Kevin Rosas 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maximus Lally a 52% favorite over Kevin Rosas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.

Kevin Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Maximus Lally enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Kevin Rosas finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Maximus Lally 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.