Combat Edge Intelligence

Keweny Lopes vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-1Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach-
145 lbsWeight140 lbs
Nova UniaoTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keweny LopesNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Mehdi SaadiNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Keweny LopesMehdi Saadi
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (17%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Keweny Lopes61%
Mehdi Saadi 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keweny Lopes a 61% favorite over Mehdi Saadi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Keweny Lopes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.