Combat Edge Intelligence

Klidson Abreu vs Sullivan Cauley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74,0"Reach76"
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamDan's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Klidson AbreuNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Sullivan CauleyNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Klidson AbreuSullivan Cauley
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
10 (63%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Sullivan Cauley62%
Klidson Abreu 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sullivan Cauley a 62% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Klidson Abreu's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.

Sullivan Cauley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.