Combat Edge Intelligence

Kody Steele vs Luiz Firmino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record20-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kody SteeleNow 1658
If they win+24→ 1682
If they lose-24→ 1634
Luiz FirminoNow 1659
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.62
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kody SteeleLuiz Firmino
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
2 (25%)
Submission
7 (35%)
2 (25%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Kody Steele70%
Luiz Firmino 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kody Steele a 70% favorite over Luiz Firmino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luiz Firmino's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1659), separated by just 1 points.

Luiz Firmino enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kody Steele finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luiz Firmino 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.