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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Prepolec vs Mark Holst

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mark Holst
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Mark Holst

“Boots”

12-6-0WelterweightOttawa Academy of Martial Arts

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

18-11-0Record12-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight169 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle PrepolecNow 1566
If they win+12→ 1578
If they lose-12→ 1554
Mark HolstNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
0.25
34%
Strike accuracy
19%
5.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.67
49%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
45%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
2.28

Trajectory

Kyle PrepolecMark Holst
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (22%)
Submission
7 (58%)
4 (22%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Prepolec64%
Mark Holst 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 64% favorite over Mark Holst in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Holst's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mark Holst 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.