Lance Palmer vs Miloš Janičić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record19-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
69"Reach72.4"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamUFD Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lance PalmerMiloš Janičić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miloš Janičić71%
Lance Palmer 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Miloš Janičić a 71% favorite over Lance Palmer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lance Palmer's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1706), separated by just 0 points.
Lance Palmer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Miloš Janičić enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Lance Palmer finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Miloš Janičić 100%.
Miloš Janičić carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.