Combat Edge Intelligence

Landry Ward vs Rustam Asuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Landry Ward
us

Landry Ward

“The Lone Star Kid”

10-3-0LightweightPFL

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'7"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Landry WardNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Rustam AsuevNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Landry WardRustam Asuev
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
5 (50%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Landry Ward51%
Rustam Asuev 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Landry Ward a 51% favorite over Rustam Asuev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Asuev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1620), separated by just 3 points.

Landry Ward enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Landry Ward finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.