Combat Edge Intelligence

Laurynas Urbonavicius vs Muhammad Said

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Vale Tudo MMA AcademyTeamGOR MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Laurynas UrbonaviciusNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Muhammad SaidNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Laurynas UrbonaviciusMuhammad Said
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
2 (13%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (27%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Said66%
Laurynas Urbonavicius 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Said a 66% favorite over Laurynas Urbonavicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1681), separated by just 3 points.

Muhammad Said enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Laurynas Urbonavicius finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Said 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.