Lazaro Dayron vs Pavel Andrusca
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-1Record8-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach-
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
If they win+24→ 1708
If they lose-24→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lazaro DayronPavel Andrusca
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pavel Andrusca72%
Lazaro Dayron 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Andrusca a 72% favorite over Lazaro Dayron in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lazaro Dayron's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1684), separated by just 2 points.
Lazaro Dayron enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pavel Andrusca enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Lazaro Dayron finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pavel Andrusca 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.