Combat Edge Intelligence

Lazaro Dayron vs Sean Gauci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-1Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach64"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamIgnite Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lazaro DayronNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Sean GauciNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lazaro DayronSean Gauci
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Lazaro Dayron51%
Sean Gauci 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lazaro Dayron a 51% favorite over Sean Gauci in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Gauci's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1687), separated by just 1 points.

Lazaro Dayron enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sean Gauci enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Lazaro Dayron finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sean Gauci 45%.

Lazaro Dayron carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.