Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Cerboni vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach68.00"
151 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brazilian Top Team· 1660 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo CerboniNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Mads BurnellNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.45
Not available
Takedown accuracy
47%
Not available
Takedown defense
22%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Leonardo CerboniMads Burnell
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
2 (22%)
Submission
9 (47%)
6 (67%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Mads Burnell69%
Leonardo Cerboni 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 69% favorite over Leonardo Cerboni in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Cerboni's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.

Leonardo Cerboni enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Cerboni finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.