Leonardo Damiani vs T.J. Schaefer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-1Record3-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team - Team Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo DamianiT.J. Schaefer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
T.J. Schaefer58%
Leonardo Damiani 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes T.J. Schaefer a 58% favorite over Leonardo Damiani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Damiani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.
Leonardo Damiani enters on a 2-fight win streak.
T.J. Schaefer enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Leonardo Damiani finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, T.J. Schaefer 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.