Combat Edge Intelligence

Lewis McGrillen vs Magomed Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamDagFighter· 1717 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lewis McGrillenNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Magomed MagomedovNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Lewis McGrillenMagomed Magomedov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
1 (8%)
Submission
10 (45%)
2 (15%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Magomedov68%
Lewis McGrillen 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Magomedov a 68% favorite over Lewis McGrillen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.

Lewis McGrillen finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 64%.

Magomed Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.