Logan Paxton vs Shamil Basaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach71.3"
170 lbsWeight147 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1668 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
If they win+24→ 1702
If they lose-24→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Logan PaxtonShamil Basaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Logan Paxton53%
Shamil Basaev 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Logan Paxton a 53% favorite over Shamil Basaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Basaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.
Shamil Basaev enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Logan Paxton finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Basaev 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.