Combat Edge Intelligence

Lorenzo de Nigris vs Shoji Maruyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record18-18-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight141 lbs
Ligorio Top TeamTeamKIBA Martial Arts Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+25→ 1526
If they lose-23→ 1478
Shoji MaruyamaNow 1509
If they win+12→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lorenzo de NigrisShoji Maruyama
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (72%)
2 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Shoji Maruyama63%
Lorenzo de Nigris 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shoji Maruyama a 63% favorite over Lorenzo de Nigris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1509), separated by just 8 points.

Shoji Maruyama 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.