Luan Duarte vs Robert Breslin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-12-0Record3-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamBreslins Freestyle Fight Team
What's at stake
Luan Duarte is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Robert Breslin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1472
If they lose-19→ 1440
If they win+29→ 1413
If they lose-19→ 1365
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luan DuarteRobert Breslin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte79%
Robert Breslin 21%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 79% favorite over Robert Breslin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Luan Duarte holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1459 to 1384, a 75-point edge.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Robert Breslin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Robert Breslin 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.