Luan Duarte vs Valentino Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-12-0Record1-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1517 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCardano Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1477
If they lose-16→ 1445
If they win+24→ 1489
If they lose-24→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luan DuarteValentino Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte53%
Valentino Greco 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 53% favorite over Valentino Greco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Valentino Greco's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1461 vs 1465), separated by just 4 points.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Valentino Greco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.