Luan Lacerda vs Paulo Victor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'2"
71"Reach-
135 lbsWeight129 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamNauas Combat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luan LacerdaPaulo Victor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paulo Victor63%
Luan Lacerda 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Victor a 63% favorite over Luan Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luan Lacerda's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Luan Lacerda finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Victor 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.