Lucas Armand vs Matt Gawlik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
6'4"Reach-
265 lbsWeight235 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1675 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Top Notch
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas ArmandMatt Gawlik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Gawlik56%
Lucas Armand 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Gawlik a 56% favorite over Lucas Armand in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.
Lucas Armand enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Matt Gawlik enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Lucas Armand finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Matt Gawlik 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.