Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Brennan vs Marc Diakiese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
Next Generation MMA FriscoTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas BrennanNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Marc DiakieseNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lucas BrennanMarc Diakiese
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
8 (73%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (9%)
Decision
11 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Brennan61%
Marc Diakiese 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Brennan a 61% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marc Diakiese's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.

Lucas Brennan finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.

Marc Diakiese carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.