Lucas Rocha vs Takaya Suzuki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'7"
64"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renovacao Coari Team· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas RochaTakaya Suzuki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Rocha58%
Takaya Suzuki 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Rocha a 58% favorite over Takaya Suzuki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1678), separated by just 9 points.
Takaya Suzuki enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Lucas Rocha finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Takaya Suzuki 78%.
Takaya Suzuki carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.