Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Gurule vs Paulo Portillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
64"Reach-
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamAZ Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Paulo PortilloNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.70
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
16%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.22
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Luis GurulePaulo Portillo
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
1 (9%)
Submission
11 (65%)
5 (45%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luis Gurule and Paulo Portillo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1641), separated by just 0 points.

Luis Gurule finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Portillo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.