Macksom Lee vs Pedro Carvalho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record15-10-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight165 lbs
Markine FightTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Macksom LeePedro Carvalho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Carvalho58%
Macksom Lee 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Carvalho a 58% favorite over Macksom Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Macksom Lee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1611), separated by just 2 points.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Macksom Lee finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Carvalho 60%.
Macksom Lee carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.