Combat Edge Intelligence

Macksom Lee vs Pedro Falcão

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
6'1"Height5'6"
75"Reach66"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Markine FightTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Macksom LeeNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Pedro FalcãoNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.63
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Macksom LeePedro Falcão
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
4 (44%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (11%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Macksom Lee89%
Pedro Falcão 11%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Macksom Lee a 89% favorite over Pedro Falcão in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Falcão's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Pedro Falcão enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Macksom Lee finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Falcão 69%.

Macksom Lee carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.