Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Sardalov vs Ollie Sarwa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ollie Sarwa
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Ollie Sarwa

“Sweet and”

9-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1661Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record9-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach-
137 lbsWeight139 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamForce MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed SardalovNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Ollie SarwaNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Magomed SardalovOllie Sarwa
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sardalov70%
Ollie Sarwa 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sardalov a 70% favorite over Ollie Sarwa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ollie Sarwa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1661), separated by just 2 points.

Magomed Sardalov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Magomed Sardalov finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.