Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Tuchalov vs Sullivan Cauley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record8-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
-Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Dagestan FighterTeamDan's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed TuchalovNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624
Sullivan CauleyNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Magomed TuchalovSullivan Cauley
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Tuchalov62%
Sullivan Cauley 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Tuchalov a 62% favorite over Sullivan Cauley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Magomed Tuchalov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.