Combat Edge Intelligence

Mahamed Aly vs Ruslan Nazhmudinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record10-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
One Way Martial ArtsTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mahamed AlyNow 1596
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
Ruslan NazhmudinovNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mahamed AlyRuslan Nazhmudinov
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Nazhmudinov53%
Mahamed Aly 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Nazhmudinov a 53% favorite over Mahamed Aly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1601), separated by just 5 points.

Mahamed Aly finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Nazhmudinov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.