Combat Edge Intelligence

Maiquel Falcao vs Marek Bartl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

39-21-0Record17-16-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
202 lbsWeight179 lbs
Rasthai TempleTeamJiuJitsu Academy Bratislava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maiquel FalcaoNow 1528
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516
Marek BartlNow 1527
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
87%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
3
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Maiquel FalcaoMarek Bartl
145015001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

27 (69%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
5 (13%)
Submission
6 (35%)
7 (18%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Bartl70%
Maiquel Falcao 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Bartl a 70% favorite over Maiquel Falcao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maiquel Falcao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1527), separated by just 1 points.

Maiquel Falcao enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Maiquel Falcao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Marek Bartl 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.