Combat Edge Intelligence

Manuel Exposito vs Taner Trembley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record7-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach69"
150 lbsWeight158 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamStart BJJ· 1604 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manuel ExpositoNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Taner TrembleyNow 1640
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Manuel ExpositoTaner Trembley
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
7 (50%)
Submission
5 (71%)
3 (21%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Exposito54%
Taner Trembley 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Exposito a 54% favorite over Taner Trembley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Taner Trembley's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.

Manuel Exposito finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Taner Trembley 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.