Marcin Tybura vs Sergey Bilostenniy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-12-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
247 lbsWeight262 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcin TyburaSergey Bilostenniy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura53%
Sergey Bilostenniy 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 53% favorite over Sergey Bilostenniy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sergey Bilostenniy's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1715), separated by just 7 points.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.
Marcin Tybura and Sergey Bilostenniy share 2 common opponents: Tyrell Fortune and Blagoy Ivanov.
Marcin Tybura carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.