Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Nikk Covert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record3-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1575 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Kihon
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1473
If they lose-25→ 1425
If they win+25→ 1466
If they lose-23→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorNikk Covert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior67%
Nikk Covert 33%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 67% favorite over Nikk Covert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1450 vs 1441), separated by just 9 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nikk Covert 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.