Marcus Buchecha vs Shelton Graves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-1Record11-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
80"Reach40,0"
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTop Flight MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus BuchechaShelton Graves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Buchecha62%
Shelton Graves 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Buchecha a 62% favorite over Shelton Graves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.
Marcus Buchecha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shelton Graves 64%.
Marcus Buchecha and Shelton Graves share 1 common opponent: Amir Aliakbari.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.