Combat Edge Intelligence

Marin Vetrila vs Max Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-Reach76"
162 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marin VetrilaNow 1669
If they win+24→ 1693
If they lose-24→ 1645
Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.28
Not available
Takedown accuracy
41%
Not available
Takedown defense
70%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Marin VetrilaMax Griffin
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Griffin68%
Marin Vetrila 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Griffin a 68% favorite over Marin Vetrila in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marin Vetrila's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1669), separated by just 0 points.

Marin Vetrila enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marin Vetrila finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.