Mariya Agapova vs Victoria Alba
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA Science AcademyTeamLa Division del Norte
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mariya AgapovaVictoria Alba
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mariya Agapova73%
Victoria Alba 27%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mariya Agapova a 73% favorite over Victoria Alba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victoria Alba's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1620), separated by just 7 points.
Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Victoria Alba enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mariya Agapova finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Alba 57%.
Mariya Agapova carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.