Combat Edge Intelligence

Marvin Eastman vs Neemias Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-15-1Record8-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
207 lbsWeight185 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamTeam Lucas Mineiro· 1644 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marvin EastmanNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Neemias SantanaNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
42%
Strike defense
Not available
0.95
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
82%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marvin EastmanNeemias Santana
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (13%)
10 (56%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marvin Eastman51%
Neemias Santana 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Eastman a 51% favorite over Neemias Santana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

Marvin Eastman finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Neemias Santana 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.