Mason Carzino-Hartshorn vs Saimon Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
-Reach72"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team BlackTeamAstra Fight Team· 1572 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mason Carzino-HartshornSaimon Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Saimon Oliveira72%
Mason Carzino-Hartshorn 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Saimon Oliveira a 72% favorite over Mason Carzino-Hartshorn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mason Carzino-Hartshorn's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.
Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mason Carzino-Hartshorn finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.