Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Sean O'Haire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight265 lbs
CM System· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1524
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
Sean O'HaireNow 1517
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
36%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Matheus ScheffelSean O'Haire
145015001550160020062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel71%
Sean O'Haire 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 71% favorite over Sean O'Haire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1517), separated by just 7 points.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Sean O'Haire enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Haire 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.