Combat Edge Intelligence

Mathias Prehofer vs Ryo Takagi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Roberto Pastuch DojoTeamParaestra Hachioji

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mathias PrehoferNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Ryo TakagiNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mathias PrehoferRyo Takagi
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (38%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Takagi69%
Mathias Prehofer 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Takagi a 69% favorite over Mathias Prehofer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Mathias Prehofer finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Takagi 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.