Matt Schnell vs Sergio Cossio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record19-12-1
FlyweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight166 lbs
Fortis MMATeamInv1ktus Durango
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt SchnellSergio Cossio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Schnell71%
Sergio Cossio 29%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Schnell a 71% favorite over Sergio Cossio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1600), separated by just 6 points.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sergio Cossio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Cossio 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.