Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew Elliott vs Nic Ouellet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamPowell River BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthew ElliottNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Nic OuelletNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matthew ElliottNic Ouellet
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Submission
5 (71%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Nic Ouellet52%
Matthew Elliott 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nic Ouellet a 52% favorite over Matthew Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matthew Elliott's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Matthew Elliott enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nic Ouellet enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Matthew Elliott finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nic Ouellet 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.