Matthew O'Rourke vs Rudyard Moncayo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record0-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
-Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Matthew O'Rourke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Rudyard Moncayo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
If they win+27→ 1454
If they lose-21→ 1406
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthew O'RourkeRudyard Moncayo
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke64%
Rudyard Moncayo 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 64% favorite over Rudyard Moncayo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Matthew O'Rourke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1427, a 44-point edge.
Rudyard Moncayo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.