Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthieu Duclos vs Paddy McCorry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthieu DuclosNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Paddy McCorryNow 1653
If they win+24→ 1677
If they lose-24→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.93
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
37%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Matthieu DuclosPaddy McCorry
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (82%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matthieu Duclos and Paddy McCorry within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1653), separated by just 2 points.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Paddy McCorry enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Matthieu Duclos finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Paddy McCorry 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.