Combat Edge Intelligence

Maurice Adorf vs Pablo Rubio Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record15-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-Reach70.5"
156 lbsWeight135.0 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1574 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maurice AdorfNow 1503
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Pablo Rubio Jr.Now 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Pablo Rubio Jr.52%
Maurice Adorf 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pablo Rubio Jr. a 52% favorite over Maurice Adorf in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurice Adorf's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1500), separated by just 3 points.

Maurice Adorf enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Maurice Adorf finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Rubio Jr. 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.