Mauricio Ruffy vs Mehdi Baydulaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record20-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
75"Reach71.7"
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamFight Club Berkut
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mauricio RuffyMehdi Baydulaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mehdi Baydulaev61%
Mauricio Ruffy 39%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Baydulaev a 61% favorite over Mauricio Ruffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1751), separated by just 4 points.
Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mehdi Baydulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mauricio Ruffy finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Baydulaev 70%.
Mauricio Ruffy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.