Melvin Guillard vs Pablo Rubio Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-22-2Record15-0-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach70.5"
170 lbsWeight135.0 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pablo Rubio Jr.52%
Melvin Guillard 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Pablo Rubio Jr. a 52% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melvin Guillard's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1500), separated by just 11 points.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Melvin Guillard finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Rubio Jr. 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.