Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Cyr vs Vince Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Cyr
us

Michael Cyr

“The Mullet”

8-2-0BantamweightPFL

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71.5"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
Warrior CampTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael CyrNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Vince MoralesNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.59
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Michael CyrVince Morales
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
7 (88%)
Submission
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Cyr59%
Vince Morales 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Cyr a 59% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vince Morales's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.

Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Michael Cyr finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.

Michael Cyr carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.