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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Davis vs Rasul Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Davis
us

Mike Davis

“Beast Boy”

12-4-0LightweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record17-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach-
155 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike DavisNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Rasul MagomedovNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
2.48
Takedown avg.
Not available
53%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
64%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.40
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mike DavisRasul Magomedov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (12%)
2 (17%)
Decision
11 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Davis58%
Rasul Magomedov 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Davis a 58% favorite over Rasul Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Mike Davis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 35%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.