Mike Davis vs Samuel Sanches
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fusion X-CelTeamGalpao da Luta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike DavisSamuel Sanches
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Sanches52%
Mike Davis 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Sanches a 52% favorite over Mike Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1675), separated by just 2 points.
Samuel Sanches enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Mike Davis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Sanches 82%.
Samuel Sanches carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.