Mike Guymon vs Will Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-1Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Joker's MMATeamDerby City MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike GuymonWill Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Will Davis66%
Mike Guymon 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Will Davis a 66% favorite over Mike Guymon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Guymon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1523), separated by just 3 points.
Mike Guymon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Guymon finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Will Davis 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.