Combat Edge Intelligence

Miloš Janičić vs Yamato Nishikawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record21-5-6
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72.4"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
UFD GymTeamNishikawa Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Miloš JaničićNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Yamato NishikawaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Miloš JaničićYamato Nishikawa
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
8 (42%)
Submission
4 (19%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Yamato Nishikawa52%
Miloš Janičić 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yamato Nishikawa a 52% favorite over Miloš Janičić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miloš Janičić's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Yamato Nishikawa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Miloš Janičić finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yamato Nishikawa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.